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Bernard Baumohl  

Chief Global Economist of The Economic Outlook Group, Geopolitical Outlook Forecaster & Bestselling Author of "The Secrets of Economic Indicators"

Bernard Baumohl is Chief Global Economist at The Economic Outlook Group. He is well known for being ahead of the curve in assessing the direction of the U.S. and world economy. The Wall Street Journal ranked him the most accurate forecaster in a major survey of economists in 2019.

Mr. Baumohl began his career with the Council on Foreign Relations, a think tank specializing in international affairs and national security. He later served as an economist at European American Bank with responsibilities to monitor the global economy. Mr. Baumohl was also an award-winning economics journalist with TIME magazine and covered the White House, Federal Reserve and Wall Street. Mr. Baumohl has lectured at NYU, Duke University and Florida Gulf Coast University, and served as a regular commentator on TV's Nightly Business Report. He is a member of the Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Panel and his projections on the economy and geopolitical outlook are frequently cited in the news media.

Mr. Baumohl is author of the best seller, "The Secrets of Economic Indicators: Hidden Clues to Future Economic Trends and Investment Opportunities." The book is in its 3rd edition and has been translated into multiple languages, including Chinese, Japanese, Russian, and German. He holds an M.A. in International Affairs and Economics from Columbia University.

Speech Topics

What is the outlook for the US and international economy?

Bernie lays out the opportunities and risks ahead for the U.S. and international economy. It is a topic of tremendous urgency these days because the economic and geopolitical order of the last century is no more! The Covid pandemic, war in Ukraine and the reversals in globalization are completely transforming the entire business landscape. Adding more complexity to the outlook are rising interest rates and high inflation. As a consequence, every firm is now experimenting, exploring and testing out new strategies on how to survive and prosper in this new, and still evolving, business landscape.

Among the key themes Bernie covers in his keynotes are these:

  • Where is the economy headed and how might it impact your business?
  • What are the implications for consumer and business spending, supply chains, inflation, interest rates and dollar?
  • How do you make business decisions when the outlook is so murky and geopolitical tensions keep escalating?
  • Who will be the leaders and laggards in the world economy?
  • Which economic and geopolitical threats are likely to erupt next?
  • How can businesses navigate through a crisis-prone world economy?

Geopolitical Risks: Where is the world headed?

The world just suffered through a series of 'once-in-a-lifetime' shocks, all back-to-back! These events have permanently altered global supply chains, driven up inflation, produced historic labor shortages, and fundamentally changed how people work, live and play. In short, the world economy has now entered a new, more volatile era. Every nation now faces a cyber war that has the potential to cripple their economies. There are also dangerous conflicts looming in Europe, the Middle East, South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait and North Korea. Simply put, the geopolitical pot is now boiling furiously. Yet corporate managers and investors still have to make decisions every day---and be able to justify them! But how do you manage a company and use its assets productively in a world that is increasingly buffeted by economic, political and military shocks?

Bernie recommends specific steps companies can take to help them remain resilient in a highly volatile environment.

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