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Don Reynolds    

Real World Economist

Real World Economist Don's prominence as a forecaster began with his "astonishingly accurate" predictions on oil prices for the Texas State Legislature. He then served 11 years as Chairman of the of the Investment Advisory Board of a $22 Billion trust fund and was appointed as Pension Board Chairman with oversight of $100 Billion in Investments. He has personally advised some of the wealthiest families in America. Don has also worked for three of the nation's largest brokerage firms. He founded 21st Century Forecasting in 1986, a research company focusing on long term global, economic, demographic, and technology trends.

Futurist He developed the nation's first graduate business course on the 21st Century. Don believes that Tectonic Plates of Change are controlled by long term trends of Globalization, Demographics, and Technology, but that linear projections are frequently disrupted by external events varying from human creativity to irrational behavior to natural disasters. He believes the interplay of those forces have the potential to create enormous problems and opportunities.

Expert On International Events He has lived 14 years overseas, visited over 50 countries, has lectured on Free Market Systems at the University of Moscow, spoken about the Global Economy for the Saudi Arabian Central Bank, keynoted the Australian IT Summit, spoken for the US Department of Commerce, advised the Heavy Equipment Industry in Santiago, Chile, counseled Inupiat Indians about energy development on the Arctic Slope, dined with the Malaysian Prime Minister in Dubai, and survived a volcanic eruption in Indonesia.

Coveted Speaker He has given over 800 speeches professionally in 46 states and 14 countries. Before becoming an economist, he attended college on debate scholarship and has won numerous public speaking awards. He has been described as "charismatic, motivational, and the consummate infotainer," and is known for his spontaneous humor, audience interaction, and rapid fire Q&A. An information junkie, he reads six newspapers a day, over 50 periodicals a month... not to mention countless newsletters and research reports.

Honored Educator He has a Masters Degree in Public Administration/Planning, a Doctoral background in Economics, and is a graduate of the Securities Industry Institute of the Wharton School. He has an Honorary degree from the University of Moscow and was the first American Member of the Moscow Center for Consulting Scientists. Don has taught at the University level for ten years, and is past Vice Chairman of the Board of Regents of Texas Woman's University.

Topics:

The Rules of E-Commerce

An Insider’s View of Current Global Technology Events

Demographic Rules of 70

Understanding Disruptive Technologies

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US Economy:

We are in recovery the trend is clearly up. There will be no double dip recession, Corporate balance sheets have over $2 Trillion in cash and another $6 Trillion in cash is sitting in money funds and short term deposits. Corporate earnings are strong and US exports are robust. The global economy should show economic growth in excess of 5%. The economy's biggest headwind is uncertainty. We are still plagued by more housing foreclosures, budget deficits and poisonous political partisanship in Washington DC.

Global Economy

In the last twenty years the global economy has produced three billion new capitalists with a voracious appetite for consumer products, while creating a new global labor market. Asia has become the second engine of global economic growth; Europe seeks to define its new global identity; Latin America witnesses the birth of a new middle class; and mineral and agricultural rich Canada is perfectly positioned. Don presents a bold assessment of the current political and economic events and forecasts major trends in the global economy.

Future Trends

Don believes that the velocity of change is accelerating due to Globalization, Demographics, and Technology. When these forces interact, massive changes or tectonic shifts occur, creating a visceral new reality, perceptions change quickly. We will confront new ethical Dilemmas, New Trends in Technology and Bio Research will alter our lives more in the next ten years then in the last thirty.

Whats Really Going On

(This appeared in Time Magazine.)

"The US economy remains almost comatose. The slump already ranks as the longest period of sustained weakness since the Depression. The economy is staggering under many "structural" burdens, The represent once-in-a-lifetime dislocations that will take years to work out. Among them: the job drought; the debt hangover; the banking collapse; the real estate depression; the health care cost explosion and the runaway federal deficit."

It pretty much sums up the situation, however we have been here before! The quote you just read is from Time Magazine, September 1992. In September 1992, the Dow Jones Industrials was below 3400, which was the beginning of an eight year run to 10,940.

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